Private home prices Q3 2026: URA’s final figures, up 1.4%

Private home prices rose 1.4% in the third quarter of 2026 (Q3 2026) on the previous quarter, according to the full statistics the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) released on 23 October 2026; the second quarter’s rise was 0.5%. That is the same headline figure as URA’s flash estimate of 1 October. Non-landed prices rose 1.0% and landed prices 2.9%, while non-landed prices in the Outside Central Region (OCR) rose 2.3%.

In our reading, the figure describes the private residential market as a whole, not the price of any project, so for a household researching a new launch it is a dated backdrop for your notes and cannot say whether a particular launch price is high or low.

All figures are from URA’s Q3 2026 real estate statistics of 23 October 2026 unless stated.

• Overall index: +1.4% in Q3 2026 on the previous quarter, after +0.5% in Q2 2026. URA says the index rose by an average of 0.9% a quarter over the first three quarters of 2026, similar to the same period of 2025.
• Non-landed homes: +1.0% (Q2: −0.1%). By region: Core Central Region (CCR) +0.3%, Rest of Central Region (RCR) unchanged, OCR +2.3%.
• Landed homes: +2.9% (Q2: +2.5%).
• Flash estimate: URA’s 1 October flash estimate had the same +1.4% overall; the segment figures moved by 0.1 to 0.4 percentage points (details below).
• Sales: developers sold 1,183 private homes excluding executive condominiums (ECs), against 2,141 in Q2; there were 3,801 resales and 162 sub-sales.
• Rentals: the private residential rental index rose 1.3% (Q2: +0.7%).
• Supply: URA repeats that 4,745 private residential units will be launched under the Confirmed List in the second half of 2026, bringing the full-year Confirmed List supply to 9,320 units.

How far did the final figures move from the flash estimate?

URA’s flash releases say: “Past data have shown that the flash estimates may differ from actual changes. The public is advised to interpret the flash estimates with caution.” Comparing each 2026 flash estimate with the final figure URA published weeks later:

• Q1 2026: the flash estimate of 1 April gave overall +0.3%, non-landed +1.0%, landed −1.8% and OCR +1.3%. The final statistics of 24 April gave overall +0.9%, non-landed +1.3%, landed −0.4% and OCR +2.2%.
• Q2 2026: the flash estimate of 1 July gave overall +0.5%, non-landed −0.1%, landed +2.6% and OCR −0.2%. The final statistics of 24 July gave overall +0.5%, non-landed −0.1%, landed +2.5% and OCR −0.1%.
• Q3 2026: the flash estimate of 1 October gave overall +1.4%, non-landed +0.9%, landed +2.8%, OCR +2.2%, CCR −0.1% and RCR +0.2%. The final statistics of 23 October gave overall +1.4%, non-landed +1.0%, landed +2.9%, OCR +2.3%, CCR +0.3% and RCR unchanged.

In Q1 the headline index moved by 0.6 percentage points between flash and final, non-landed by 0.3, landed by 1.4 and OCR by 0.9. In Q2 the four figures compared each moved by 0.1 percentage point or less, and in Q3 the headline did not move while non-landed, landed and OCR each moved by 0.1. The largest Q3 change was in the CCR, from a 0.1% fall to a 0.3% rise. Those differences are our arithmetic from URA’s figures. Three quarters are far too few to say what a typical revision looks like. Our takeaway is narrower: write a flash figure down with its label and replace it when the final arrives.

What does the index cover, and what does it not?

URA’s flash release says the estimate is compiled from “transaction prices submitted for stamp duty payment and data on units sold by developers”. URA reports non-landed prices in three regions (CCR, RCR and OCR) and landed prices separately, so check which region a project sits in before you compare it with a regional figure. Our reading, not URA’s: because the index is a market-wide measure, its movement need not match the movement in any one project, and it cannot tell you what a specific project’s price list should look like. URA’s property data pages list data on prices, rentals and pipeline supply of private residential properties and Executive Condominiums; its REALIS service is a subscription at a fee.

The volume figure needed care too. URA’s flash release counted 4,296 sale transactions for Q3 up to mid-September and described a fall of about 30% on the 6,148 in Q2. The full statistics give 1,183 developer sales, 3,801 resales and 162 sub-sales for the whole quarter, 5,146 in all, which is about 16% below Q2 (our arithmetic; URA’s shares of 73.9% resales and 3.1% sub-sales match that total). Our reading: the earlier 30% compared part of a quarter with a full one, as we said when this page cited the flash estimate, and the full-quarter fall is about half that size.

What else did URA publish about supply and sales?

• Pipeline: at the end of September 2026 there were 44,738 units including ECs with planning approval, of which 20,300 were unsold, plus 12,508 unsold units without planning approval yet; URA says approximately 32,800 units could be made available for sale in the next one to two years. It expects about 57,200 private homes and ECs to be completed in the coming years, about 22,300 of them by 2028. Our reading: these are pipeline figures, not homes open for sale to buyers today. The full set, with the end-June comparison and the vacancy rate of 7.2%, is in our private housing supply note.
• Launches: developers launched 1,140 private homes excluding ECs in Q3, against 1,783 in Q2, and launched no EC units; they sold 68 EC units.
• 29 September 2026: URA released two sites under the second-half 2026 Government Land Sales Programme. The Confirmed List site at East Coast Road can potentially yield about 85 residential units, and its tender closes at 12 noon on 3 December 2026. The site at Serangoon North View is available for application under the Reserve List and can potentially yield 235 residential units. Our GLS tender calendar tracks the open tenders.

What comes next?

URA’s data release calendar (page showing “Last updated on 4 September 2026”) covers September to November 2026 and lists no Q4 2026 flash estimate or final statistics yet. When URA publishes them, look for the same lines:

1. The overall index against +1.4% for Q3, and whether the Q4 flash and final figures differ.
2. The CCR, RCR and OCR figures and the landed figure.
3. Developers’ sales against 1,183 in Q3 (excluding ECs), and resales against 3,801.
4. The pipeline and unsold counts, set against the end-September figures in our supply note.

How should you record it in your research file?

A line you can copy into your research file: “Q3 2026, URA final statistics, 23 October 2026: private residential price index +1.4% (flash 1 October: +1.4%), OCR non-landed +2.3%, landed +2.9%.” Put it beside, not instead of, the dated price list and floor area for the project you are considering, as in our project comparison guide. For the costs that sit on top of any price, see our stamp duty guide; for projects with a dated status, see the pipeline overview; and for more dated market notes, see the research topic.

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